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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In J1 League (Japan) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81.8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. J1 League Japan 81.8% 148
2. PFL Philippines 78.6% 131
3. MLS Next Pro United States 77.5% 120
4. Primera C Argentina 77.2% 114
5. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 76.2% 105
6. NPFL Nigeria 76.1% 335
7. Paulista - U20 Brazil 75.6% 172
8. Torneo Federal A Argentina 73.7% 137
9. Primera Nacional Argentina 71.5% 151
10. Serie B Brazil 71.3% 101
11. Calcutta Premier Division India 70% 120
12. V.League 2 Vietnam 68.9% 119
13. USL Championship United States 68.6% 102
14. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 67% 100
15. Reserve League Argentina 62.5% 120
16. V.League 1 Vietnam 62.1% 174
17. Football League - Lowland League Scotland 62% 100
18. Major League Soccer United States 60% 130

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page