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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Superliga (Albania) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 87.3% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Superliga Albania 87.3% 165
2. Football League Greece 79.6% 338
3. Ligue 1 Algeria 79.1% 201
4. 1st Division Albania 79% 233
5. A Lyga Lithuania 77.4% 159
6. Super League 1 Greece 77.1% 258
7. Virsliga Latvia 76.6% 171
8. Meistriliiga Estonia 76.5% 170
9. Championship Scotland 75.9% 170
10. Super League Uzbekistan 75% 108
11. Druha Liga Ukraine 74.8% 107
12. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 74.8% 317
13. Premier League Armenia 74.8% 103
14. Premier League Kuwait 74.6% 169
15. Premier League Jamaica 74.4% 180
16. 1. Division Belarus 74.1% 185
17. Liga Nacional Guatemala 73.8% 260
18. Premier League Kazakhstan 73.8% 168
19. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 73.7% 194
20. Regionalliga - West Austria 73.6% 197
21. Primera Division El Salvador 73.5% 162
22. Persha Liga Ukraine 73.4% 203
23. Erovnuli Liga Georgia 73.4% 203
24. Premiership Scotland 73.1% 219
25. Bundesliga Austria 73.1% 167
26. Serie A Brazil 73% 348
27. Premier League Belarus 72.8% 169
28. NB I Hungary 72.6% 215
29. Ligue 1 France 72.5% 346
30. Serie B Brazil 72.2% 349
31. La Liga Spain 71.4% 350
32. Ykkönen Finland 71.2% 125
33. Primera División Venezuela 71% 283
34. Premier League England 70.8% 349
35. Primera División Uruguay 70.5% 112
36. Serie D Brazil 70.5% 166
37. National 2 - Group A France 70.4% 189
38. 2. Lig Türkiye 70.3% 293
39. 1. Lig Türkiye 70% 280
40. Veikkausliiga Finland 69.9% 183

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page