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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Pro League (Trinidad & Tobago) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 80.6% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Pro League Trinidad & Tobago 80.6% 129
2. Premier League Belarus 77.8% 158
3. Serie D Brazil 76.5% 162
4. Serie A Brazil 76.5% 341
5. Super League Uzbekistan 76.4% 140
6. Superliga Albania 75.5% 159
7. Premyer Liqa Azerbaijan 74.7% 154
8. League One Scotland 74.4% 172
9. Football League Greece 74.1% 232
10. Meistriliiga Estonia 74.1% 170
11. Ykkönen Finland 73.6% 125
12. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 73.3% 270
13. Esiliiga A Estonia 73.1% 171
14. League Two Scotland 72.9% 170
15. Premier League Ukraine 72.8% 158
16. 1. Division Denmark 72.8% 169
17. A Lyga Lithuania 72.3% 159
18. Liga Nacional Guatemala 71.7% 258
19. Premier League Kazakhstan 71.3% 143
20. Championship Scotland 71.2% 170
21. Primera División Venezuela 71.1% 180
22. 2. Liga Austria 70.7% 174
23. Primera Nacional Argentina 70.6% 402
24. Veikkausliiga Finland 70.6% 177
25. A-League Australia 70.5% 129
26. Primeira Liga Portugal 70.5% 285
27. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 70.5% 400
28. Torneo Federal A Argentina 70.4% 582
29. Premier League Wales 70.2% 181
30. Ligue 1 Tunisia 70.1% 214
31. Süper Lig Türkiye 70% 283
32. Bundesliga Austria 69.6% 168
33. Major League Soccer United States 69.6% 332
34. Superliga Denmark 69.6% 184
35. Serie C Brazil 69.4% 170
36. Serie B Brazil 69.4% 346
37. USL Championship United States 69.3% 323
38. League One England 69% 513
39. Ligue 1 France 68.8% 346
40. Premier League Egypt 68.5% 267

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page