Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In A Lyga (Lithuania) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
League	First scorer wins	Matches
1. A Lyga Lithuania	81%	116
2. Serie A Women Italy	81%	126
3. Premier League Belarus	77.9%	213
4. Stars League Qatar	77.4%	124
5. Czech Liga Czechia	76.8%	259
6. FA WSL England	76.7%	103
7. First League Bulgaria	76.7%	223
8. Primera División Femenina Spain	76.4%	225
9. First NL Croatia	75.7%	136
10. Super League 1 Greece	75.6%	217
11. Football League Greece	75.1%	205
12. Premier League England	74.9%	358
13. 1. Lig Türkiye	74.8%	282
14. FNL Czechia	74.3%	218
15. Frauen Bundesliga Germany	74.2%	128
16. Ykkönen Finland	74.2%	124
17. Premier League Armenia	74.2%	120
18. Premiership Scotland	74.1%	212
19. Erovnuli Liga Georgia	73.8%	160
20. Premier League Malta	73.5%	170
21. Esiliiga A Estonia	73.2%	168
22. Superliga Albania	73.2%	153
23. Premier League Wales	73.1%	186
24. Ligue 2 France	73.1%	327
25. League Two Scotland	72.8%	173
26. Liga Pro Ecuador	72.8%	125
27. Meistriliiga Estonia	72.7%	176
28. 1. Division Cyprus	72.7%	161
29. Super League Uzbekistan	72.6%	117
30. Primera A Colombia	72.5%	363
31. Super League Malaysia	72.4%	127
32. Primera División Bolivia	72.4%	286
33. Liga Nacional Guatemala	72.4%	257
34. Premier League Kazakhstan	72.3%	166
35. Ligue 1 Algeria	72.3%	191
36. Challenger Pro League Belgium	72%	118
37. Primeira Liga Portugal	72%	286
38. Second League Bulgaria	71.9%	146
39. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina	71.9%	320
40. Pro League Saudi Arabia	71.7%	223

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.