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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In 1st Division (Albania) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81.7% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. 1st Division Albania 81.7% 208
2. Football League Greece 80.2% 232
3. Meistriliiga Estonia 79.4% 170
4. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 78.1% 270
5. Persha Liga Ukraine 77.5% 276
6. Super League 1 Greece 76.5% 230
7. Regionalliga - Ost Austria 76.1% 188
8. Premyer Liqa Azerbaijan 75.6% 168
9. Superliga Albania 75.3% 166
10. Premier League Lebanon 74.8% 111
11. Primeira Liga Portugal 74.5% 216
12. Premiership Scotland 73.9% 203
13. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 73.1% 357
14. Premier League Jamaica 72.7% 154
15. Süper Lig Türkiye 72.2% 299
16. 2. Lig Türkiye 72.1% 240
17. NB II Hungary 72% 189
18. Primera Nacional Argentina 71.9% 327
19. Regionalliga - West Austria 71.8% 170
20. Premier League Ukraine 71.8% 216
21. Ligue 1 Algeria 70.6% 214
22. Premier League England 70% 353
23. National 2 - Group C France 69.8% 205
24. League Two England 69.7% 522
25. NB I Hungary 69.7% 218
26. Primera División Venezuela 69.7% 284
27. National 2 - Group A France 69.7% 208
28. Esiliiga A Estonia 69.4% 170
29. Superliga Denmark 69.2% 185
30. La Liga Spain 69.2% 347
31. Serie A Italy 68.8% 336
32. National 2 - Group D France 68.6% 204
33. National Division Luxembourg 68.4% 136
34. Premier League Wales 68.3% 189
35. Bundesliga Austria 68.2% 154
36. Ligue 3 France 68.2% 336
37. 1. Lig Türkiye 67.9% 268
38. 1. Division Denmark 67.7% 167
39. Eredivisie Netherlands 67.5% 302
40. Torneo Federal A Argentina 67.5% 379

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page