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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In 1st League - FBiH (Bosnia & Herzegovina) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 85.4% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. 1st League - FBiH Bosnia & Herzegovina 85.4% 123
2. Frauen Bundesliga Germany 85.2% 122
3. MLS Next Pro United States 84.1% 208
4. Eredivisie Women Netherlands 81.5% 108
5. Premiership Northern Ireland 80.8% 213
6. Super League Kenya 80.4% 153
7. Feminine Division 1 France 80.3% 127
8. NPFL Nigeria 80.3% 345
9. Women's Championship England 80.2% 126
10. Kansallinen Liiga Finland 79.6% 113
11. Damallsvenskan Sweden 78.9% 175
12. Supreme Division Women Russia 78.1% 105
13. Victoria NPL Australia 78% 177
14. Premier League Armenia 77.7% 166
15. Professional League Oman 77.4% 146
16. FA WSL England 77.3% 128
17. 1st League - RS Bosnia & Herzegovina 77.3% 176
18. Super Liga Moldova 77.1% 105
19. Premier League Ghana 77.1% 266
20. Ligue 1 Algeria 77% 209
21. Premier Division Gibraltar 77% 100
22. Liga Primera U20 Nicaragua 77% 139
23. Elitettan Sweden 77% 178
24. Ligue 1 Tunisia 76.7% 176
25. 1. Liga Latvia 76.6% 171
26. 1. Liga Promotion Switzerland 76.4% 271
27. Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Spain 76.3% 219
28. Liga Premier Serie A Mexico 76.3% 240
29. Virsliga Latvia 76.2% 168
30. Meistaradeildin Faroe Islands 76.2% 130
31. Super League Women Belgium 76% 150
32. League One China 75.9% 278
33. Second League - Group 1 Russia 75.8% 190
34. Premier League Uganda 75.7% 181
35. Premier League Lebanon 75.7% 111
36. Super League 2 Greece 75.7% 345
37. Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Spain 75.6% 217
38. Primeira Liga Portugal 75.3% 288
39. Premier League Kazakhstan 75.3% 166
40. Second League - Group 3 Russia 75.2% 383

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page