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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Supreme Division Women (Russia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 83.3% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Supreme Division Women Russia 83.3% 144
2. MLS Next Pro United States 81.8% 324
3. Ligue 1 Tunisia 80.8% 198
4. WE League Japan 80.7% 119
5. Liga MX U21 Mexico 80.4% 245
6. Second League Montenegro 78.4% 167
7. Primera División Femenina Spain 78.1% 224
8. Premier League Bahrain 78.1% 128
9. Frauenliga Austria 78.1% 105
10. Ekstraliga Women Poland 78% 127
11. First League North Macedonia 77.8% 185
12. Premier League Ghana 77.8% 252
13. Super League Malawi 77.8% 216
14. I Liga - Women Slovakia 77.8% 126
15. Feminine Division 1 France 77.4% 124
16. U19 League Ukraine 77.3% 225
17. 1 Lyga Lithuania 77% 230
18. AXA Women’s Super League Switzerland 76.9% 108
19. Super Liga Moldova 76.8% 138
20. Damallsvenskan Sweden 76.7% 180
21. Super League 2 Greece 76.6% 244
22. Calcutta Premier Division India 76.6% 111
23. Serie D - Girone H Italy 76.4% 271
24. NPFL Nigeria 76% 342
25. Premier League Uganda 75.6% 205
26. Premier League Kuwait 75.5% 102
27. Persha Liga Ukraine 75.4% 211
28. 3. Lig - Group 3 Türkiye 75.3% 219
29. Premier League Belarus 75.3% 227
30. Kvindeliga Denmark 75.2% 105
31. Premier League Armenia 75.2% 121
32. Azadegan League Iran 74.9% 219
33. Premijer Liga Bosnia & Herzegovina 74.8% 159
34. Second League A - Division A Gold Russia 74.8% 159
35. Paulista - U20 Brazil 74.8% 385
36. FNL Czechia 74.8% 226
37. Liga 3 Georgia 74.8% 226
38. Football League - Highland League Scotland 74.8% 103
39. Meistriliiga Estonia 74.7% 178
40. UEFA Youth League International 74.6% 201

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page