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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In J1 League (Japan) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81.8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. J1 League Japan 81.8% 148
2. Liga I Romania 74.3% 105
3. Eliteserien Norway 71.6% 194
4. Allsvenskan Sweden 71.4% 206
5. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 69.4% 421
6. La Liga Spain 69% 100
7. Segunda División Spain 68.9% 122
8. Liga MX Mexico 67.2% 128
9. Ekstraklasa Poland 63.2% 106
10. Serie A Brazil 63.1% 314
11. K League 1 South Korea 63% 181
12. Major League Soccer United States 62.8% 471
13. Championship England 61.3% 155
14. Super League China 61.3% 222

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page