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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In 2. Lig (Türkiye) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 82% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. 2. Lig Türkiye 82% 111
2. Super Liga Moldova 80.9% 152
3. Football League Greece 78.6% 248
4. Premier League Kazakhstan 78.4% 176
5. A Lyga Lithuania 78.2% 119
6. Super Liga Serbia 76.7% 275
7. Premier League Russia 76.3% 207
8. Persha Liga Ukraine 76.1% 272
9. Ligue 1 Algeria 76% 200
10. Campionato San Marino 75.8% 124
11. Challenge League Switzerland 75.6% 168
12. Bundesliga Austria 74.9% 175
13. Premier League Hong Kong SAR China 74.8% 103
14. Esiliiga A Estonia 74.7% 174
15. Premier League Ghana 74.2% 194
16. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 74.1% 402
17. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 74.1% 139
18. Veikkausliiga Finland 73.6% 174
19. HNL Croatia 73.3% 165
20. Pro League United Arab Emirates 73.3% 165
21. Premier League Jamaica 73.2% 179
22. Meistriliiga Estonia 73.1% 167
23. Liga I Romania 73% 237
24. 1st Division Albania 72.8% 125
25. Ligue 1 France 72.3% 350
26. Segunda División Peru 72.1% 201
27. Super League 1 Greece 72.1% 226
28. Liga Nacional Guatemala 72.1% 247
29. Süper Lig Türkiye 72% 282
30. Premiership Scotland 72% 214
31. Super League Uzbekistan 72% 164
32. League One Scotland 71.9% 171
33. K League 2 South Korea 71.9% 199
34. Serie D Brazil 71.8% 220
35. Championship England 71.5% 520
36. Premier League England 71.4% 353
37. Liga II Romania 71.3% 174
38. Ligue 1 Tunisia 71.2% 170
39. Kakkonen - Lohko A Finland 71.1% 128
40. First League Russia 71% 321

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page