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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In La Liga (Spain) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 71.4% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. La Liga Spain 71.4% 353
2. Championship Scotland 71.1% 149
3. Premiership Scotland 71.1% 197
4. Serie A Italy 70.2% 346
5. Primeira Liga Portugal 69.8% 215
6. Jupiler Pro League Belgium 68.3% 246
7. Bundesliga Germany 67.8% 292
8. Ligue 1 France 66.1% 336
9. Serie A Brazil 65.6% 334
10. Ligue 2 France 64.6% 328
11. Premier League England 63.5% 345
12. Eredivisie Netherlands 62.5% 293

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page