Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In A Lyga (Lithuania) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 78.8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
League	First scorer wins	Matches
1. A Lyga Lithuania	78.8%	156
2. Super League Uzbekistan	77.6%	156
3. Football League Greece	77.3%	348
4. Meistriliiga Estonia	77.2%	167
5. Super League 1 Greece	76.9%	221
6. Ligue 1 Algeria	76.8%	207
7. Persha Liga Ukraine	76.6%	261
8. 1. Division Belarus	75.4%	175
9. A-League Australia	75%	128
10. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia	74.8%	341
11. Premier League Ukraine	74.7%	225
12. Primera Nacional Argentina	74.5%	318
13. J2 League Japan	74.5%	419
14. Virsliga Latvia	74.2%	163
15. Veikkausliiga Finland	74.1%	185
16. Premier League Belarus	74%	131
17. Premier League Armenia	74%	154
18. Regionalliga - Mitte Austria	73.4%	128
19. Premyer Liqa Azerbaijan	72.9%	166
20. Liga Pro Serie B Ecuador	72.6%	197
21. Primera División Venezuela	72.5%	280
22. 2. Liga Austria	72.4%	170
23. NB II Hungary	72.3%	220
24. Ykkönen Finland	72.2%	126
25. Premier League Wales	72.2%	187
26. Druha Liga Ukraine	72%	100
27. Premier League Egypt	71.9%	121
28. Serie C Brazil	71.8%	170
29. Premier League Jamaica	71.5%	151
30. Superliga Albania	71.1%	159
31. Premier League Lebanon	70.6%	126
32. 1. Lig Türkiye	70.6%	279
33. League Two England	70.5%	501
34. National 2 - Group C France	70.1%	204
35. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina	70.1%	361
36. Serie D Brazil	70%	160
37. Serie B Brazil	69.9%	356
38. Serie A Italy	69.9%	345
39. Stars League Qatar	69.8%	126
40. Premier League Kazakhstan	69.8%	169

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.