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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Meistriliiga (Estonia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 79.5% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Meistriliiga Estonia 79.5% 171
2. Football League Greece 79.2% 370
3. 1st Division Albania 78.1% 160
4. National Division Luxembourg 76.9% 117
5. A Lyga Lithuania 76.9% 134
6. Super League Uzbekistan 76.5% 153
7. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 75.9% 319
8. Premier League Kuwait 75.8% 128
9. Ligue 1 Algeria 75.6% 213
10. Virsliga Latvia 75.4% 118
11. Kakkonen - Lohko A Finland 75.4% 130
12. Kakkonen - Lohko C Finland 74.8% 107
13. Liga Pro Serie B Ecuador 74.2% 221
14. Druha Liga Ukraine 74.1% 108
15. La Liga Spain 73.9% 348
16. Serie D Brazil 73.7% 171
17. Premier League Kazakhstan 73.6% 159
18. Persha Liga Ukraine 73.6% 208
19. Championship Scotland 73.5% 170
20. Veikkausliiga Finland 73.1% 175
21. Premier League England 73.1% 353
22. Primeira Liga Portugal 72.9% 221
23. Ligue 1 Tunisia 72.8% 202
24. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 72.6% 340
25. Premier League Belarus 72.6% 175
26. Serie C Brazil 72.3% 188
27. Superliga Albania 72.2% 169
28. Premiership Scotland 72.1% 215
29. 2. Liga Austria 71.6% 169
30. Ykkönen Finland 71.5% 123
31. Esiliiga A Estonia 71.5% 172
32. Premier League Jamaica 71.5% 172
33. Premyer Liqa Azerbaijan 71.4% 154
34. Serie B Brazil 71.3% 349
35. Ligue 3 France 71.3% 258
36. Süper Lig Türkiye 71.1% 270
37. Super League 1 Greece 71% 293
38. Thai League 1 Thailand 70.6% 163
39. Jupiler Pro League Belgium 70.4% 280
40. Serie A Italy 70.3% 357

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page