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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Supreme Division Women (Russia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 87.8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Supreme Division Women Russia 87.8% 147
2. Premier League Hong Kong SAR China 81.4% 102
3. Pro League Trinidad & Tobago 81.1% 127
4. Super League Women Belgium 81% 126
5. Brasileiro Women Brazil 80.9% 131
6. Esiliiga A Estonia 80.7% 171
7. 1st League - RS Bosnia & Herzegovina 79.9% 159
8. Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Spain 79.9% 273
9. Meistaradeildin Faroe Islands 79.7% 128
10. 1. Deild Faroe Islands 79.3% 116
11. Segunda División RFEF - Group 2 Spain 79% 267
12. Úrvalsdeild Women Iceland 78.8% 104
13. Campionato San Marino 78.7% 244
14. GFA League Gambia 78.4% 116
15. MLS Next Pro United States 78.4% 306
16. Premier League Mongolia 78.4% 125
17. Liga Premier Serie A Mexico 78.4% 522
18. League Jordan 78.2% 124
19. Super Liga Moldova 78.1% 105
20. Youth Championship Russia 78% 182
21. 3. Lig - Group 1 Türkiye 78% 191
22. Druha Liga Ukraine 77.8% 171
23. Ligue 1 Tunisia 77.8% 144
24. WE League Japan 77.6% 125
25. 3. Division - Girone 6 Norway 77.5% 120
26. Première Division Mali 77.2% 149
27. 1a Divisió Andorra 77.1% 131
28. Serie D - Girone D Italy 76.9% 273
29. Ligue 2 Algeria 76.9% 372
30. Damallsvenskan Sweden 76.7% 172
31. Premier Division Gibraltar 76.7% 120
32. First League Armenia 76.6% 107
33. Eredivisie Women Netherlands 76.6% 124
34. Frauen Bundesliga Germany 76.6% 124
35. AXA Women’s Super League Switzerland 76.5% 115
36. Tercera División RFEF - Group 13 Spain 76.4% 280
37. Ligue 2 Tunisia 76.3% 262
38. Premiership Northern Ireland 76.2% 223
39. Primera División RFEF - Group 2 Spain 76.2% 336
40. 3. Division - Girone 5 Norway 76% 121

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page