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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Campionato greco di calcio (Grecia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 75,6% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Campionato greco di calcio Grecia 75.6% 217
2. Premier League Inghilterra 74.9% 358
3. Premiership Scozia 74.1% 212
4. Ligue 2 Francia 73.1% 327
5. Liga Portugal Portogallo 72% 286
6. Lega saudita professionistica Arabia Saudita 71.7% 223
7. Super Liga Serbia 71.5% 263
8. Bundesliga Austria 70.6% 180
9. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 70.3% 290
10. Prem'er-Liha Ucraina 70.3% 182
11. A-League Men Australia 70% 130
12. J1 League Giappone 69.9% 279
13. Liga I Romania 69.9% 239
14. Serie A Brasile 69.7% 337
15. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 69.7% 300
16. Allsvenskan Svezia 69.2% 227
17. Ekstraklasa Polonia 69% 277
18. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 68.9% 389
19. K League 1 Corea del Sud 68.8% 205
20. Primera División de México Messico 68.5% 314

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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