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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Serie A (Brazil) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 76.5% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Serie A Brazil 76.5% 341
2. Premier League Ukraine 72.8% 158
3. A-League Australia 70.5% 129
4. Primeira Liga Portugal 70.5% 285
5. Süper Lig Türkiye 70% 283
6. Bundesliga Austria 69.6% 168
7. Major League Soccer United States 69.6% 332
8. Superliga Denmark 69.6% 184
9. Ligue 1 France 68.8% 346
10. Premier League England 68.4% 348
11. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 68.1% 407
12. Premiership Scotland 67.6% 213
13. Championship England 67.6% 500
14. Bundesliga Germany 67% 282
15. J1 League Japan 66.7% 285
16. Eredivisie Netherlands 66.4% 298
17. Jupiler Pro League Belgium 66.3% 282
18. 2. Bundesliga Germany 64.3% 283
19. Ligue 2 France 64% 328

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page