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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In La Liga (Spain) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 73.9% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. La Liga Spain 73.9% 348
2. Premier League England 73.1% 353
3. Primeira Liga Portugal 72.9% 221
4. Premiership Scotland 72.1% 215
5. Süper Lig Türkiye 71.1% 270
6. Super League 1 Greece 71% 293
7. Jupiler Pro League Belgium 70.4% 280
8. Serie A Italy 70.3% 357
9. Serie A Brazil 70.1% 308
10. Championship England 67.4% 515
11. J1 League Japan 67.1% 289
12. A-League Australia 66.7% 129
13. Major League Soccer United States 66.2% 314
14. Bundesliga Germany 65.5% 293
15. Bundesliga Austria 65.5% 171
16. Ligue 2 France 65.3% 346
17. 2. Bundesliga Germany 65.2% 273
18. Superliga Denmark 62.3% 183
19. Eredivisie Netherlands 61.2% 299

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page