Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Primeira Liga (Portugal) finishes best: 1.11 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.11 | 78,729 |
| 2. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.09 | 97,355 |
| 3. Championship England | 1.09 | 135,245 |
| 4. First League Bulgaria | 1.08 | 26,592 |
| 5. Eredivisie Netherlands | 1.07 | 92,563 |
| 6. Bundesliga Germany | 1.05 | 93,869 |
| 7. Major League Soccer United States | 1.05 | 137,192 |
| 8. Premier League England | 1.04 | 119,635 |
| 9. Serie A Italy | 1.03 | 95,948 |
| 10. Super League China | 1.01 | 33,970 |
| 11. La Liga Spain | 1.01 | 99,785 |
| 12. Serie A Brazil | 1.01 | 93,954 |
| 13. Jupiler Pro League Belgium | 0.995 | 87,051 |
| 14. Liga I Romania | 0.984 | 63,201 |
| 15. Ekstraklasa Poland | 0.983 | 65,888 |
| 16. Eliteserien Norway | 0.976 | 47,011 |
| 17. Allsvenskan Sweden | 0.976 | 36,083 |
| 18. Ligue 1 France | 0.972 | 84,938 |
| 19. Superliga Denmark | 0.964 | 31,236 |
| 20. Czech Liga Czechia | 0.961 | 48,492 |
| 21. 3. Liga Germany | 0.958 | 27,037 |
| 22. HNL Croatia | 0.957 | 28,855 |
| 23. Super League Switzerland | 0.944 | 54,669 |
| 24. J1 League Japan | 0.88 | 34,314 |
Showing every competition. Major competitions only
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.