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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Liga Portugal (Portogallo) finishes best: 1,11 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Liga Portugal Portogallo 1.11 78.729
2. Süper Lig Turchia 1.09 97.355
3. Championship Inghilterra 1.09 135.245
4. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 1.07 92.563
5. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 1.05 93.869
6. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 1.05 137.192
7. Premier League Inghilterra 1.04 119.635
8. Serie A Italia 1.03 95.948
9. Super League Cina 1.01 33.970
10. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 1.01 99.785
11. Serie A Brasile 1.01 93.954
12. Pro League Belgio 0.995 87.051
13. Liga I Romania 0.984 63.201
14. Ekstraklasa Polonia 0.983 65.888
15. Campionato norvegese di calcio Norvegia 0.976 47.011
16. Allsvenskan Svezia 0.976 36.083
17. Ligue 1 Francia 0.972 84.938
18. Superligaen Danimarca 0.964 31.236
19. HNL Croazia 0.957 28.855
20. Super League Svizzera 0.944 54.669

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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