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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Bundesliga (Germany) finishes best: 1.05 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Bundesliga Germany 1.05 51,214
2. Serie A Italy 1 50,856
3. Premier League England 0.942 59,361
4. La Liga Spain 0.94 57,456
5. Ligue 1 France 0.936 54,374

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

Match page