Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Primeira Liga (Portugal) finishes best: 1.07 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.07 | 242,440 |
| 2. Eredivisie Netherlands | 1.06 | 286,774 |
| 3. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.05 | 282,384 |
| 4. Bundesliga Germany | 1.05 | 336,770 |
| 5. Major League Soccer United States | 1.04 | 483,093 |
| 6. Championship England | 1.03 | 431,635 |
| 7. Serie A Brazil | 1.02 | 295,211 |
| 8. Super League China | 1.01 | 176,529 |
| 9. Serie A Italy | 1.01 | 343,413 |
| 10. Superliga Denmark | 1 | 143,408 |
| 11. Premier League England | 1 | 403,875 |
| 12. La Liga Spain | 0.998 | 368,619 |
| 13. Eliteserien Norway | 0.991 | 198,974 |
| 14. 3. Liga Germany | 0.989 | 173,430 |
| 15. League One England | 0.977 | 106,871 |
| 16. Czech Liga Czechia | 0.975 | 162,606 |
| 17. Super League Switzerland | 0.974 | 186,288 |
| 18. Ligue 1 France | 0.97 | 328,261 |
| 19. First League Bulgaria | 0.969 | 103,815 |
| 20. Allsvenskan Sweden | 0.963 | 160,473 |
| 21. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina | 0.957 | 161,410 |
| 22. Ekstraklasa Poland | 0.957 | 221,076 |
| 23. Jupiler Pro League Belgium | 0.955 | 283,258 |
| 24. Liga I Romania | 0.951 | 207,355 |
| 25. J1 League Japan | 0.947 | 271,971 |
| 26. League Two England | 0.936 | 108,641 |
| 27. Serie B Brazil | 0.907 | 102,414 |
Showing every competition. Major competitions only
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.