Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Liga MX (Mexico) finishes best: 1.08 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Liga MX Mexico | 1.08 | 55,181 |
| 2. Premiership Scotland | 1.06 | 43,871 |
| 3. Veikkausliiga Finland | 1.05 | 22,050 |
| 4. Premier League Egypt | 1.04 | 30,887 |
| 5. 1. Lig Türkiye | 1.04 | 54,778 |
| 6. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.03 | 79,642 |
| 7. Bundesliga Germany | 1.03 | 96,065 |
| 8. Serie A Brazil | 1.03 | 93,449 |
| 9. Eredivisie Netherlands | 1.03 | 93,856 |
| 10. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.02 | 79,310 |
| 11. Eliteserien Norway | 1.02 | 72,663 |
| 12. Pro League Saudi Arabia | 1.02 | 69,123 |
| 13. Major League Soccer United States | 1.02 | 160,211 |
| 14. Bundesliga Austria | 1.01 | 37,244 |
| 15. Super League China | 1.01 | 68,488 |
| 16. Championship England | 1.01 | 143,394 |
| 17. Superliga Denmark | 1.01 | 58,228 |
| 18. Super League Switzerland | 1 | 65,054 |
| 19. Segunda División Spain | 1 | 46,244 |
| 20. La Liga Spain | 0.998 | 102,645 |
| 21. Czech Liga Czechia | 0.994 | 53,908 |
| 22. Division Profesional - Clausura Paraguay | 0.99 | 32,211 |
| 23. Superettan Sweden | 0.989 | 36,489 |
| 24. Premier League England | 0.985 | 106,099 |
| 25. Ligue 1 France | 0.984 | 87,680 |
| 26. Super League 1 Greece | 0.982 | 26,270 |
| 27. Damallsvenskan Sweden | 0.98 | 26,032 |
| 28. Challenger Pro League Belgium | 0.979 | 43,903 |
| 29. Primera División Peru | 0.979 | 36,678 |
| 30. 1. Division Cyprus | 0.976 | 21,834 |
| 31. 2. Bundesliga Germany | 0.973 | 66,424 |
| 32. 3. Liga Germany | 0.971 | 80,412 |
| 33. HNL Croatia | 0.964 | 36,392 |
| 34. Serie A Italy | 0.964 | 95,614 |
| 35. League Two England | 0.959 | 90,683 |
| 36. Allsvenskan Sweden | 0.957 | 63,099 |
| 37. League One England | 0.956 | 91,047 |
| 38. Premier League Ukraine | 0.954 | 34,484 |
| 39. Ekstraklasa Poland | 0.953 | 68,950 |
| 40. A-League Australia | 0.948 | 43,265 |
Showing every competition. Major competitions only
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.