Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Primeira Liga (Portugal) finishes best: 1.11 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.11 | 78,729 |
| 2. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.09 | 97,355 |
| 3. Championship England | 1.09 | 135,245 |
| 4. Eredivisie Netherlands | 1.07 | 92,563 |
| 5. Bundesliga Germany | 1.05 | 93,869 |
| 6. Major League Soccer United States | 1.05 | 137,192 |
| 7. Premier League England | 1.04 | 119,635 |
| 8. Serie A Italy | 1.03 | 95,948 |
| 9. Super League China | 1.01 | 33,970 |
| 10. La Liga Spain | 1.01 | 99,785 |
| 11. Serie A Brazil | 1.01 | 93,954 |
| 12. Jupiler Pro League Belgium | 0.995 | 87,051 |
| 13. Liga I Romania | 0.984 | 63,201 |
| 14. Ekstraklasa Poland | 0.983 | 65,888 |
| 15. Eliteserien Norway | 0.976 | 47,011 |
| 16. Allsvenskan Sweden | 0.976 | 36,083 |
| 17. Ligue 1 France | 0.972 | 84,938 |
| 18. Superliga Denmark | 0.964 | 31,236 |
| 19. HNL Croatia | 0.957 | 28,855 |
| 20. Super League Switzerland | 0.944 | 54,669 |
Showing the major competitions. Include every competition
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.