Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Major League Soccer (United States) finishes best: 1.08 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Major League Soccer United States | 1.08 | 150,586 |
| 2. Primera División Peru | 1.08 | 21,275 |
| 3. Bundesliga Germany | 1.07 | 89,525 |
| 4. Eredivisie Netherlands | 1.07 | 87,156 |
| 5. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.06 | 74,119 |
| 6. Serie A Italy | 1.05 | 92,815 |
| 7. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.04 | 96,333 |
| 8. Superliga Denmark | 1.04 | 42,449 |
| 9. Allsvenskan Sweden | 1.03 | 45,834 |
| 10. 3. Liga Germany | 1.02 | 65,981 |
| 11. Premier League England | 1.02 | 109,519 |
| 12. Serie A Brazil | 1.02 | 91,017 |
| 13. La Liga Spain | 1.02 | 98,005 |
| 14. Super League China | 1.01 | 62,475 |
| 15. Championship England | 1.01 | 135,853 |
| 16. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina | 0.987 | 77,701 |
| 17. HNL Croatia | 0.985 | 21,417 |
| 18. Ligue 1 France | 0.985 | 92,500 |
| 19. J1 League Japan | 0.979 | 91,400 |
| 20. Damallsvenskan Sweden | 0.975 | 32,705 |
| 21. First League Bulgaria | 0.958 | 30,366 |
| 22. Eliteserien Norway | 0.952 | 59,579 |
| 23. Ekstraklasa Poland | 0.938 | 69,624 |
| 24. Czech Liga Czechia | 0.93 | 39,874 |
| 25. Liga I Romania | 0.928 | 53,537 |
| 26. Super League Switzerland | 0.925 | 53,706 |
| 27. Jupiler Pro League Belgium | 0.923 | 93,346 |
| 28. Serie B Brazil | 0.92 | 29,232 |
| 29. Superettan Sweden | 0.872 | 33,030 |
| 30. Premier League Ukraine | 0.858 | 28,307 |
| 31. Primera División Chile | 0.822 | 21,161 |
Showing every competition. Major competitions only
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.