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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Primera División de México (Messico) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Primera División de México Messico 1.08 55.181
2. Premiership Scozia 1.06 43.871
3. Liga Portugal Portogallo 1.03 79.642
4. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 1.03 96.065
5. Serie A Brasile 1.03 93.449
6. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 1.03 93.856
7. Süper Lig Turchia 1.02 79.310
8. Campionato norvegese di calcio Norvegia 1.02 72.663
9. Lega saudita professionistica Arabia Saudita 1.02 69.123
10. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 1.02 160.211
11. Bundesliga Austria 1.01 37.244
12. Super League Cina 1.01 68.488
13. Championship Inghilterra 1.01 143.394
14. Superligaen Danimarca 1.01 58.228
15. Super League Svizzera 1 65.054
16. Segunda División Spagna 1 46.244
17. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 0.998 102.645
18. Premier League Inghilterra 0.985 106.099
19. Ligue 1 Francia 0.984 87.680
20. Campionato greco di calcio Grecia 0.982 26.270

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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