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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Major League Soccer (Stati Uniti) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 1.08 150.586
2. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 1.07 89.525
3. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 1.07 87.156
4. Liga Portugal Portogallo 1.06 74.119
5. Serie A Italia 1.05 92.815
6. Süper Lig Turchia 1.04 96.333
7. Superligaen Danimarca 1.04 42.449
8. Allsvenskan Svezia 1.03 45.834
9. Premier League Inghilterra 1.02 109.519
10. Serie A Brasile 1.02 91.017
11. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 1.02 98.005
12. Super League Cina 1.01 62.475
13. Championship Inghilterra 1.01 135.853
14. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 0.987 77.701
15. HNL Croazia 0.985 21.417
16. Ligue 1 Francia 0.985 92.500
17. J1 League Giappone 0.979 91.400
18. Campionato norvegese di calcio Norvegia 0.952 59.579
19. Ekstraklasa Polonia 0.938 69.624
20. Liga I Romania 0.928 53.537

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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