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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Liga Portugal (Portogallo) finishes best: 1,07 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Liga Portugal Portogallo 1.07 242.440
2. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 1.06 286.774
3. Süper Lig Turchia 1.05 282.384
4. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 1.05 336.770
5. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 1.04 483.093
6. Championship Inghilterra 1.03 431.635
7. Serie A Brasile 1.02 295.211
8. Super League Cina 1.01 176.529
9. Serie A Italia 1.01 343.413
10. Superligaen Danimarca 1 143.408
11. Premier League Inghilterra 1 403.875
12. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 0.998 368.619
13. Campionato norvegese di calcio Norvegia 0.991 198.974
14. Super League Svizzera 0.974 186.288
15. Ligue 1 Francia 0.97 328.261
16. Allsvenskan Svezia 0.963 160.473
17. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 0.957 161.410
18. Ekstraklasa Polonia 0.957 221.076
19. Pro League Belgio 0.955 283.258
20. Liga I Romania 0.951 207.355

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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