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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Liga Portugal (Portogallo) finishes best: 1,11 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Liga Portugal Portogallo 1.11 78.729
2. Süper Lig Turchia 1.09 97.355
3. Championship Inghilterra 1.09 135.245
4. First League Bulgaria 1.08 26.592
5. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 1.07 92.563
6. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 1.05 93.869
7. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 1.05 137.192
8. Premier League Inghilterra 1.04 119.635
9. Serie A Italia 1.03 95.948
10. Super League Cina 1.01 33.970
11. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 1.01 99.785
12. Serie A Brasile 1.01 93.954
13. Pro League Belgio 0.995 87.051
14. Liga I Romania 0.984 63.201
15. Ekstraklasa Polonia 0.983 65.888
16. Campionato norvegese di calcio Norvegia 0.976 47.011
17. Allsvenskan Svezia 0.976 36.083
18. Ligue 1 Francia 0.972 84.938
19. Superligaen Danimarca 0.964 31.236
20. Czech Liga Cechia 0.961 48.492
21. 3. Liga Germania 0.958 27.037
22. HNL Croazia 0.957 28.855
23. Super League Svizzera 0.944 54.669
24. J1 League Giappone 0.88 34.314

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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