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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Portekiz Süper Ligi (Portekiz) finishes best: 1,07 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Portekiz Süper Ligi Portekiz 1.07 242.440
2. Eredivisie Hollanda 1.06 286.774
3. Süper Lig Türkiye 1.05 282.384
4. Bundesliga Almanya 1.05 336.770
5. Major League Soccer Amerika Birleşik Devletleri 1.04 483.093
6. Championship İngiltere 1.03 431.635
7. Serie A Brezilya 1.02 295.211
8. Super League Çin 1.01 176.529
9. Serie A İtalya 1.01 343.413
10. Danimarka Süper Ligi Danimarka 1 143.408
11. Premier Lig İngiltere 1 403.875
12. La Liga İspanya 0.998 368.619
13. Eliteserien Norveç 0.991 198.974
14. İsviçre Süper Ligi İsviçre 0.974 186.288
15. Fransa Ligue 1 Fransa 0.97 328.261
16. Allsvenskan İsveç 0.963 160.473
17. Liga Profesional Argentina Arjantin 0.957 161.410
18. Ekstraklasa Polonya 0.957 221.076
19. Belçika Birinci Ligi Belçika 0.955 283.258
20. Liga I Romanya 0.951 207.355

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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