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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Liga MX (México) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Liga MX México 1.08 55.181
2. Premiership Escócia 1.06 43.871
3. Primeira Liga Portugal 1.03 79.642
4. Campeonato Alemão de Futebol Alemanha 1.03 96.065
5. Serie A Brasil 1.03 93.449
6. Eredivisie Países Baixos 1.03 93.856
7. Campeonato Turco de Futebol Turquia 1.02 79.310
8. Campeonato Norueguês de Futebol Noruega 1.02 72.663
9. Campeonato Saudita de Futebol Arábia Saudita 1.02 69.123
10. Major League Soccer Estados Unidos 1.02 160.211
11. Campeonato Austríaco de Futebol Áustria 1.01 37.244
12. Super League China 1.01 68.488
13. Championship Inglaterra 1.01 143.394
14. Campeonato Dinamarquês de Futebol Dinamarca 1.01 58.228
15. Swiss Super League Suíça 1 65.054
16. Segunda Divisão Espanhola Espanha 1 46.244
17. La Liga Espanha 0.998 102.645
18. Premier League Inglaterra 0.985 106.099
19. Ligue 1 França 0.984 87.680
20. Campeonato Grego de Futebol Grécia 0.982 26.270

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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