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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Liga MX (Mexiko) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Liga MX Mexiko 1.08 55.181
2. Premiership Schottland 1.06 43.871
3. Primeira Liga Portugal 1.03 79.642
4. Fußball-Bundesliga Deutschland 1.03 96.065
5. Serie A Brasilien 1.03 93.449
6. Eredivisie Niederlande 1.03 93.856
7. Süper Lig Türkei 1.02 79.310
8. Eliteserien Norwegen 1.02 72.663
9. Saudi Professional League Saudi-Arabien 1.02 69.123
10. Major League Soccer Vereinigte Staaten 1.02 160.211
11. Fußball-Bundesliga Österreich 1.01 37.244
12. Super League China 1.01 68.488
13. Championship England 1.01 143.394
14. Superliga Dänemark 1.01 58.228
15. Super League Schweiz 1 65.054
16. Segunda División Spanien 1 46.244
17. Primera División Spanien 0.998 102.645
18. Premier League England 0.985 106.099
19. Ligue 1 Frankreich 0.984 87.680
20. Super League Griechenland 0.982 26.270

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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