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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Major League Soccer (Estados Unidos) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Major League Soccer Estados Unidos 1.08 150.586
2. Campeonato Alemão de Futebol Alemanha 1.07 89.525
3. Eredivisie Países Baixos 1.07 87.156
4. Primeira Liga Portugal 1.06 74.119
5. Campeonato Italiano de Futebol - Série A Itália 1.05 92.815
6. Campeonato Turco de Futebol Turquia 1.04 96.333
7. Campeonato Dinamarquês de Futebol Dinamarca 1.04 42.449
8. Campeonato Sueco de Futebol Suécia 1.03 45.834
9. Premier League Inglaterra 1.02 109.519
10. Serie A Brasil 1.02 91.017
11. La Liga Espanha 1.02 98.005
12. Super League China 1.01 62.475
13. Championship Inglaterra 1.01 135.853
14. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 0.987 77.701
15. HNL Croácia 0.985 21.417
16. Ligue 1 França 0.985 92.500
17. Campeonato Japonês de futebol Japão 0.979 91.400
18. Campeonato Norueguês de Futebol Noruega 0.952 59.579
19. Campeonato Polonês de Futebol Polônia 0.938 69.624
20. Campeonato Romeno de Futebol Romênia 0.928 53.537

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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