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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Major League Soccer (États-Unis) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Major League Soccer États-Unis 1.08 150 586
2. championnat d'Allemagne de football Allemagne 1.07 89 525
3. Eredivisie Pays-Bas 1.07 87 156
4. championnat du Portugal de football Portugal 1.06 74 119
5. championnat d'Italie de football Italie 1.05 92 815
6. championnat de Turquie de football Turquie 1.04 96 333
7. championnat du Danemark de football Danemark 1.04 42 449
8. championnat de Suède de football Suède 1.03 45 834
9. championnat d'Angleterre de football Angleterre 1.02 109 519
10. Serie A Brésil 1.02 91 017
11. championnat d'Espagne de football Espagne 1.02 98 005
12. Super League Chine 1.01 62 475
13. Championship Angleterre 1.01 135 853
14. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentine 0.987 77 701
15. HNL Croatie 0.985 21 417
16. championnat de France de football France 0.985 92 500
17. championnat du Japon de football Japon 0.979 91 400
18. championnat de Norvège de football Norvège 0.952 59 579
19. championnat de Pologne de football Pologne 0.938 69 624
20. championnat de Roumanie de football Roumanie 0.928 53 537

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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