Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Major League Soccer (United States) finishes best: 1.08 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Major League Soccer United States | 1.08 | 150,586 |
| 2. Bundesliga Germany | 1.07 | 89,525 |
| 3. Eredivisie Netherlands | 1.07 | 87,156 |
| 4. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.06 | 74,119 |
| 5. Serie A Italy | 1.05 | 92,815 |
| 6. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.04 | 96,333 |
| 7. Superliga Denmark | 1.04 | 42,449 |
| 8. Allsvenskan Sweden | 1.03 | 45,834 |
| 9. Premier League England | 1.02 | 109,519 |
| 10. Serie A Brazil | 1.02 | 91,017 |
| 11. La Liga Spain | 1.02 | 98,005 |
| 12. Super League China | 1.01 | 62,475 |
| 13. Championship England | 1.01 | 135,853 |
| 14. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina | 0.987 | 77,701 |
| 15. HNL Croatia | 0.985 | 21,417 |
| 16. Ligue 1 France | 0.985 | 92,500 |
| 17. J1 League Japan | 0.979 | 91,400 |
| 18. Eliteserien Norway | 0.952 | 59,579 |
| 19. Ekstraklasa Poland | 0.938 | 69,624 |
| 20. Liga I Romania | 0.928 | 53,537 |
Showing the major competitions. Include every competition
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.