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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Supreme Division Women (Russia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 83,8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Supreme Division Women Russia 83.8% 743
2. MLS Next Pro Stati Uniti 80.3% 1276
3. Naisten Liiga Finlandia 77.7% 611
4. Divizia Naṭională Moldavia 77.7% 1177
5. 1st League - RS Bosnia ed Erzegovina 77.7% 886
6. Football League Grecia 77.6% 2338
7. Damallsvenskan Svezia 77.4% 984
8. Feminine Division 1 Francia 77.3% 972
9. Frauen-Bundesliga Germania 77.1% 1072
10. campionato svizzero di calcio femminile Svizzera 77.1% 538
11. NPFL Nigeria 76.8% 2079
12. Premier Division Gibilterra 76.5% 520
13. 1st Division Albania 76.5% 2493
14. Super League Women Belgio 76.5% 727
15. Druha Liga Ucraina 76.2% 1591
16. Kvindeliga Danimarca 76.2% 600
17. Liga Premier Serie A Messico 75.7% 1684
18. Toppserien Norvegia 75.5% 591
19. Premier League Ghana 75.2% 1787
20. Niislel League Mongolia 75% 531
21. Souper Ligka Ellada 2 Grecia 74.7% 1884
22. FA WSL Inghilterra 74.5% 954
23. Campionato estone di calcio Estonia 74.5% 2558
24. Serie A Women Italia 74.5% 960
25. Brasileiro Women Brasile 74.4% 896
26. 1. Līga Lettonia 74.4% 840
27. Prima Divisione Libano 74.3% 1211
28. 1. Division Kazakistan 74.2% 1027
29. Eredivisie Women Paesi Bassi 74.2% 817
30. Women's Championship Inghilterra 74.1% 714
31. Persha Liga Ucraina 74.1% 3133
32. Pirveli Liga Georgia 74% 3042
33. Bardsragujn chumb Armenia 74% 1715
34. Second League - Group 1 Russia 73.9% 1331
35. First League Macedonia del Nord 73.8% 1196
36. Campionato San Marino 73.8% 1619
37. A Lyga Lituania 73.8% 1983
38. Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Spagna 73.7% 1992
39. 1a Divisió Andorra 73.7% 716
40. Second League - Group 3 Russia 73.7% 1523

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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