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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In TFF 2. Lig (Turchia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 82% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. TFF 2. Lig Turchia 82% 111
2. Divizia Naṭională Moldavia 80.9% 152
3. Football League Grecia 78.6% 248
4. Campionato kazako di calcio Kazakistan 78.4% 176
5. A Lyga Lituania 78.2% 119
6. Super Liga Serbia 76.7% 275
7. Prem'er-Liga Russia 76.3% 207
8. Persha Liga Ucraina 76.1% 272
9. Ligue 1 Algeria 76% 200
10. Campionato San Marino 75.8% 124
11. Challenge League Svizzera 75.6% 168
12. Bundesliga Austria 74.9% 175
13. Premier League RAS di Hong Kong 74.8% 103
14. Esiliiga Estonia 74.7% 174
15. Premier League Ghana 74.2% 194
16. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 74.1% 402
17. Pirveli Liga Georgia 74.1% 139
18. Campionato finlandese di calcio Finlandia 73.6% 174
19. HNL Croazia 73.3% 165
20. UAE Football League Emirati Arabi Uniti 73.3% 165
21. Premier League Giamaica 73.2% 179
22. Campionato estone di calcio Estonia 73.1% 167
23. Liga I Romania 73% 237
24. 1st Division Albania 72.8% 125
25. Ligue 1 Francia 72.3% 350
26. Segunda División Perù 72.1% 201
27. Campionato greco di calcio Grecia 72.1% 226
28. Liga Nacional Guatemala 72.1% 247
29. Süper Lig Turchia 72% 282
30. Premiership Scozia 72% 214
31. O'zbekiston Superligasi Uzbekistan 72% 164
32. Football League One Scozia 71.9% 171
33. K League 2 Corea del Sud 71.9% 199
34. Serie D Brasile 71.8% 220
35. Championship Inghilterra 71.5% 520
36. Premier League Inghilterra 71.4% 353
37. Liga II Romania 71.3% 174
38. Ligue 1 Tunisia 71.2% 170
39. Kakkonen - Lohko A Finlandia 71.1% 128
40. Pervenstvo Futbol'noj Nacional'noj Ligi Russia 71% 321

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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