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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In 1st Division (Albania) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81,7% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. 1st Division Albania 81.7% 208
2. Football League Grecia 80.2% 232
3. Campionato estone di calcio Estonia 79.4% 170
4. Pirveli Liga Georgia 78.1% 270
5. Persha Liga Ucraina 77.5% 276
6. Campionato greco di calcio Grecia 76.5% 230
7. Regionalliga - Ost Austria 76.1% 188
8. Premyer Liqası Azerbaigian 75.6% 168
9. Superliga Albania 75.3% 166
10. Prima Divisione Libano 74.8% 111
11. Liga Portugal Portogallo 74.5% 216
12. Premiership Scozia 73.9% 203
13. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 73.1% 357
14. Premier League Giamaica 72.7% 154
15. Süper Lig Turchia 72.2% 299
16. TFF 2. Lig Turchia 72.1% 240
17. NB II Ungheria 72% 189
18. Primera B Nacional Argentina 71.9% 327
19. Regionalliga - West Austria 71.8% 170
20. Prem'er-Liha Ucraina 71.8% 216
21. Ligue 1 Algeria 70.6% 214
22. Premier League Inghilterra 70% 353
23. National 2 - Group C Francia 69.8% 205
24. Football League Two Inghilterra 69.7% 522
25. Női Nemzeti Bajnokság I Ungheria 69.7% 218
26. Primera División Venezuela 69.7% 284
27. National 2 - Group A Francia 69.7% 208
28. Esiliiga Estonia 69.4% 170
29. Superligaen Danimarca 69.2% 185
30. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 69.2% 347
31. Serie A Italia 68.8% 336
32. National 2 - Group D Francia 68.6% 204
33. Division Nationale Lussemburgo 68.4% 136
34. Premier League Galles 68.3% 189
35. Bundesliga Austria 68.2% 154
36. Ligue 3 Francia 68.2% 336
37. TFF 1. Lig Turchia 67.9% 268
38. 1. Division Danimarca 67.7% 167
39. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 67.5% 302
40. Torneo Federal A Argentina 67.5% 379

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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