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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Major League Soccer (Stati Uniti) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Major League Soccer Stati Uniti 1.08 150.586
2. Primera División Perù 1.08 21.275
3. Fußball-Bundesliga Germania 1.07 89.525
4. Eredivisie Paesi Bassi 1.07 87.156
5. Liga Portugal Portogallo 1.06 74.119
6. Serie A Italia 1.05 92.815
7. Süper Lig Turchia 1.04 96.333
8. Superligaen Danimarca 1.04 42.449
9. Allsvenskan Svezia 1.03 45.834
10. 3. Liga Germania 1.02 65.981
11. Premier League Inghilterra 1.02 109.519
12. Serie A Brasile 1.02 91.017
13. LaLiga Spagnola Spagna 1.02 98.005
14. Super League Cina 1.01 62.475
15. Championship Inghilterra 1.01 135.853
16. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 0.987 77.701
17. HNL Croazia 0.985 21.417
18. Ligue 1 Francia 0.985 92.500
19. J1 League Giappone 0.979 91.400
20. Damallsvenskan Svezia 0.975 32.705
21. First League Bulgaria 0.958 30.366
22. Campionato norvegese di calcio Norvegia 0.952 59.579
23. Ekstraklasa Polonia 0.938 69.624
24. Czech Liga Cechia 0.93 39.874
25. Liga I Romania 0.928 53.537
26. Super League Svizzera 0.925 53.706
27. Pro League Belgio 0.923 93.346
28. Serie B Brasile 0.92 29.232
29. Superettan Svezia 0.872 33.030
30. Prem'er-Liha Ucraina 0.858 28.307
31. Primera División Cile 0.822 21.161

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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