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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Supreme Division Women (Russland) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 83,8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Supreme Division Women Russland 83.8% 743
2. MLS Next Pro Vereinigte Staaten 80.3% 1.276
3. Kansallinen Liiga Finnland 77.7% 611
4. Super Liga Republik Moldau 77.7% 1.177
5. 1st League - RS Bosnien und Herzegowina 77.7% 886
6. Football League Griechenland 77.6% 2.338
7. Damallsvenskan Schweden 77.4% 984
8. Feminine Division 1 Frankreich 77.3% 972
9. Frauen-Bundesliga Deutschland 77.1% 1.072
10. Schweizer Fussballmeisterschaft der Frauen Schweiz 77.1% 538
11. NPFL Nigeria 76.8% 2.079
12. Premier Division Gibraltar 76.5% 520
13. 1st Division Albanien 76.5% 2.493
14. Super League Women Belgien 76.5% 727
15. Druha Liga Ukraine 76.2% 1.591
16. Kvindeliga Dänemark 76.2% 600
17. Liga Premier Serie A Mexiko 75.7% 1.684
18. Toppserien Norwegen 75.5% 591
19. Premier League Ghana 75.2% 1.787
20. National Premier League (Mongolei) Mongolei 75% 531
21. Super League 2 (Griechenland) Griechenland 74.7% 1.884
22. FA WSL England 74.5% 954
23. Meistriliiga Estland 74.5% 2.558
24. Serie A Women Italien 74.5% 960
25. Brasileiro Women Brasilien 74.4% 896
26. 1. līga Lettland 74.4% 840
27. Libanesische Premier League Libanon 74.3% 1.211
28. 1. Division Kasachstan 74.2% 1.027
29. Eredivisie Women Niederlande 74.2% 817
30. Gibraltar Women’s Football League England 74.1% 714
31. Persha Liga Ukraine 74.1% 3.133
32. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgien 74% 3.042
33. Bardsragujn chumb Armenien 74% 1.715
34. Second League - Group 1 Russland 73.9% 1.331
35. First League Nordmazedonien 73.8% 1.196
36. Campionato San Marino 73.8% 1.619
37. A Lyga Litauen 73.8% 1.983
38. Tercera División RFEF - Group 11 Spanien 73.7% 1.992
39. 1a Divisió Andorra 73.7% 716
40. Second League - Group 3 Russland 73.7% 1.523

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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