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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In 1st League - FBiH (Bosnien und Herzegowina) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 85,4% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. 1st League - FBiH Bosnien und Herzegowina 85.4% 123
2. Frauen-Bundesliga Deutschland 85.2% 122
3. MLS Next Pro Vereinigte Staaten 84.1% 208
4. Eredivisie Women Niederlande 81.5% 108
5. Premiership Nordirland 80.8% 213
6. Super League Kenia 80.4% 153
7. Feminine Division 1 Frankreich 80.3% 127
8. NPFL Nigeria 80.3% 345
9. Gibraltar Women’s Football League England 80.2% 126
10. Kansallinen Liiga Finnland 79.6% 113
11. Damallsvenskan Schweden 78.9% 175
12. Supreme Division Women Russland 78.1% 105
13. Victoria NPL Australien 78% 177
14. Bardsragujn chumb Armenien 77.7% 166
15. Oman Professional League Oman 77.4% 146
16. FA WSL England 77.3% 128
17. 1st League - RS Bosnien und Herzegowina 77.3% 176
18. Super Liga Republik Moldau 77.1% 105
19. Premier League Ghana 77.1% 266
20. Ligue 1 Algerien 77% 209
21. Premier Division Gibraltar 77% 100
22. Liga Primera U20 Nicaragua 77% 139
23. Elitettan Schweden 77% 178
24. Ligue 1 Tunesien 76.7% 176
25. 1. līga Lettland 76.6% 171
26. 1. Liga Schweiz 76.4% 271
27. Tercera División RFEF - Group 2 Spanien 76.3% 219
28. Liga Premier Serie A Mexiko 76.3% 240
29. Virslīga Lettland 76.2% 168
30. Meistaradeildin Färöer 76.2% 130
31. Super League Women Belgien 76% 150
32. China League One China 75.9% 278
33. Second League - Group 1 Russland 75.8% 190
34. Premier League Uganda 75.7% 181
35. Libanesische Premier League Libanon 75.7% 111
36. Super League 2 (Griechenland) Griechenland 75.7% 345
37. Tercera División RFEF - Group 9 Spanien 75.6% 217
38. Primeira Liga Portugal 75.3% 288
39. Premjer-Liga Kasachstan 75.3% 166
40. Second League - Group 3 Russland 75.2% 383

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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