Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In TFF 2. Lig (Türkei) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 82% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
League	First scorer wins	Matches
1. TFF 2. Lig Türkei	82%	111
2. Super Liga Republik Moldau	80.9%	152
3. Football League Griechenland	78.6%	248
4. Premjer-Liga Kasachstan	78.4%	176
5. A Lyga Litauen	78.2%	119
6. Super Liga Serbien	76.7%	275
7. Premjer-Liga Russland	76.3%	207
8. Persha Liga Ukraine	76.1%	272
9. Ligue 1 Algerien	76%	200
10. Campionato San Marino	75.8%	124
11. Challenge League Schweiz	75.6%	168
12. Fußball-Bundesliga Österreich	74.9%	175
13. Premier League Sonderverwaltungsregion Hongkong	74.8%	103
14. Esiliiga Estland	74.7%	174
15. Premier League Ghana	74.2%	194
16. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentinien	74.1%	402
17. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgien	74.1%	139
18. Veikkausliiga Finnland	73.6%	174
19. HNL Kroatien	73.3%	165
20. Premier Division Vereinigte Arabische Emirate	73.3%	165
21. Premier League Jamaika	73.2%	179
22. Meistriliiga Estland	73.1%	167
23. Liga 1 Rumänien	73%	237
24. 1st Division Albanien	72.8%	125
25. Ligue 1 Frankreich	72.3%	350
26. Segunda División Peru	72.1%	201
27. Super League Griechenland	72.1%	226
28. Liga Nacional Guatemala	72.1%	247
29. Süper Lig Türkei	72%	282
30. Premiership Schottland	72%	214
31. Usbekische Professionelle Fußballliga Usbekistan	72%	164
32. EFL League One Schottland	71.9%	171
33. K League 2 Südkorea	71.9%	199
34. Serie D Brasilien	71.8%	220
35. Championship England	71.5%	520
36. Premier League England	71.4%	353
37. Liga II Rumänien	71.3%	174
38. Ligue 1 Tunesien	71.2%	170
39. Kakkonen - Lohko A Finnland	71.1%	128
40. Perwenstwo FNL Russland	71%	321

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.