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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In HNL (Croatia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 75.5% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. HNL Croatia 75.5% 163
2. Allsvenskan Sweden 74.1% 224
3. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 73% 252
4. Premier League Ukraine 72.6% 175
5. Serie A Brazil 72.2% 345
6. Primeira Liga Portugal 71.3% 282
7. Super Liga Serbia 71% 231
8. Super League 1 Greece 70.3% 212
9. A-League Australia 70% 140
10. Ekstraklasa Poland 69.3% 274
11. Eredivisie Netherlands 69.3% 218
12. Premier League Russia 69.2% 208
13. Super League Switzerland 69% 171
14. Ligue 2 France 69% 248
15. Super League China 68.5% 232
16. Superliga Denmark 68.4% 228
17. La Liga Spain 68.3% 347
18. Bundesliga Austria 68.1% 188
19. Premier League England 67.7% 359
20. Pro League Saudi Arabia 67.5% 228

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

Match page