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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In HNL (Croácia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 75,5% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. HNL Croácia 75.5% 163
2. Campeonato Sueco de Futebol Suécia 74.1% 224
3. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 73% 252
4. Campeonato Ucraniano de Futebol Ucrânia 72.6% 175
5. Serie A Brasil 72.2% 345
6. Primeira Liga Portugal 71.3% 282
7. Super Liga Sérvia 71% 231
8. Campeonato Grego de Futebol Grécia 70.3% 212
9. A-League Austrália 70% 140
10. Campeonato Polonês de Futebol Polônia 69.3% 274
11. Eredivisie Países Baixos 69.3% 218
12. Liga Premier Russa Rússia 69.2% 208
13. Swiss Super League Suíça 69% 171
14. Ligue 2 França 69% 248
15. Super League China 68.5% 232
16. Campeonato Dinamarquês de Futebol Dinamarca 68.4% 228
17. La Liga Espanha 68.3% 347
18. Campeonato Austríaco de Futebol Áustria 68.1% 188
19. Premier League Inglaterra 67.7% 359
20. Campeonato Saudita de Futebol Arábia Saudita 67.5% 228

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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