Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In 2. Lig (Türkiye) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 82% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
League	First scorer wins	Matches
1. 2. Lig Türkiye	82%	111
2. Moldova Süper Ligi Moldova	80.9%	152
3. Beta Ethniki Yunanistan	78.6%	248
4. Kazakistan Süper Ligi Kazakistan	78.4%	176
5. Litvanya A Ligi Litvanya	78.2%	119
6. Super Liga Sırbistan	76.7%	275
7. Rossiyskaya Premyer-Liga Rusya	76.3%	207
8. Persha Liga Ukrayna	76.1%	272
9. Ligue 1 Cezayir	76%	200
10. Campionato San Marino	75.8%	124
11. İsviçre Challenge Ligi İsviçre	75.6%	168
12. Avusturya Bundesliga Avusturya	74.9%	175
13. Premier League Çin Hong Kong ÖİB	74.8%	103
14. Esiliiga A Estonya	74.7%	174
15. Premier League Gana	74.2%	194
16. Liga Profesional Argentina Arjantin	74.1%	402
17. Erovnuli Liga 2 Gürcistan	74.1%	139
18. Veikkausliiga Finlandiya	73.6%	174
19. HNL Hırvatistan	73.3%	165
20. Râbitatu'l-Muhtarifîn el-İmârâtiyye Birleşik Arap Emirlikleri	73.3%	165
21. Premier League Jamaika	73.2%	179
22. Meistriliiga Estonya	73.1%	167
23. Liga I Romanya	73%	237
24. 1st Division Arnavutluk	72.8%	125
25. Fransa Ligue 1 Fransa	72.3%	350
26. Segunda División Peru	72.1%	201
27. Yunanistan Süper Ligi Yunanistan	72.1%	226
28. Liga Nacional Guatemala	72.1%	247
29. Süper Lig Türkiye	72%	282
30. Premier Lig İskoçya	72%	214
31. Özbekistan Oliy Ligi Özbekistan	72%	164
32. EFL League One İskoçya	71.9%	171
33. K League 2 Güney Kore	71.9%	199
34. Serie D Brezilya	71.8%	220
35. Championship İngiltere	71.5%	520
36. Premier Lig İngiltere	71.4%	353
37. Liga II Romanya	71.3%	174
38. Ligue 1 Tunus	71.2%	170
39. Kakkonen - Lohko A Finlandiya	71.1%	128
40. Rusya Birinci Futbol Ligi Rusya	71%	321

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.