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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Divisi Satu J. League (Jepang) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81,8% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Divisi Satu J. League Jepang 81.8% 148
2. PFL Filipina 78.6% 131
3. MLS Next Pro Amerika Serikat 77.5% 120
4. Primera C Argentina 77.2% 114
5. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina 76.2% 105
6. NPFL Nigeria 76.1% 335
7. Paulista - U20 Brasil 75.6% 172
8. Torneo Federal A Argentina 73.7% 137
9. Primera B Nacional Argentina 71.5% 151
10. Serie B Brasil 71.3% 101
11. Calcutta Premier Division India 70% 120
12. V.League 2 Vietnam 68.9% 119
13. USL Championship Amerika Serikat 68.6% 102
14. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 67% 100
15. Reserve League Argentina 62.5% 120
16. V.League 1 Vietnam 62.1% 174
17. Football League - Lowland League Skotlandia 62% 100
18. Liga Utama Sepak Bola Amerika Serikat Amerika Serikat 60% 130

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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