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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Meistriliiga (Estonia) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 79,5% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Meistriliiga Estonia 79.5% 171
2. Football League Yunani 79.2% 370
3. 1st Division Albania 78.1% 160
4. Divisi Nasional Luksemburg Luksemburg 76.9% 117
5. Liga A Lithuania Lituania 76.9% 134
6. Liga Super Uzbekistan Uzbekistan 76.5% 153
7. Erovnuli Liga 2 Georgia 75.9% 319
8. Liga Utama Kuwait Kuwait 75.8% 128
9. Ligue 1 Aljazair 75.6% 213
10. Liga Tinggi Latvia Latvia 75.4% 118
11. Kakkonen - Lohko A Finlandia 75.4% 130
12. Kakkonen - Lohko C Finlandia 74.8% 107
13. Liga Pro Serie B Ekuador 74.2% 221
14. Druha Liga Ukraina 74.1% 108
15. LaLiga Spanyol 73.9% 348
16. Serie D Brasil 73.7% 171
17. Liga Utama Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 73.6% 159
18. Persha Liga Ukraina 73.6% 208
19. Championship Skotlandia 73.5% 170
20. Veikkausliiga Finlandia 73.1% 175
21. Liga Utama Inggris Inggris 73.1% 353
22. Primeira Liga Portugal 72.9% 221
23. Ligue 1 Tunisia 72.8% 202
24. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 72.6% 340
25. Liga Utama Belarus Belarus 72.6% 175
26. Serie C Brasil 72.3% 188
27. Superliga Albania 72.2% 169
28. Liga Utama Inggris Skotlandia 72.1% 215
29. 2. Liga (Austria) Austria 71.6% 169
30. Ykkönen Finlandia 71.5% 123
31. Esiliiga Estonia 71.5% 172
32. Premier League Jamaika 71.5% 172
33. Liga Utama Azerbaijan Azerbaijan 71.4% 154
34. Serie B Brasil 71.3% 349
35. Championnat National Prancis 71.3% 258
36. Liga Super Turki Turki 71.1% 270
37. Liga Super Yunani Yunani 71% 293
38. Liga 1 Thailand Thailand 70.6% 163
39. Liga Profesional Belgia Belgia 70.4% 280
40. Serie A Italia 70.3% 357

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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