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Does the first goal decide the match?

How often the side that opens the scoring goes on to win. Across the majors it is roughly seven times in ten — but not everywhere.

In Liga A Lithuania (Lituania) the opening goal is worth most: the side that scores first wins 81% of the time.

Does the first goal decide the match?
LeagueFirst scorer winsMatches
1. Liga A Lithuania Lituania 81% 116
2. Serie A Women Italia 81% 126
3. Liga Utama Belarus Belarus 77.9% 213
4. Liga Bintang Qatar Qatar 77.4% 124
5. Czech Liga Ceko 76.8% 259
6. FA WSL Inggris 76.7% 103
7. First League Bulgaria 76.7% 223
8. Divisi Utama Wanita Spanyol 76.4% 225
9. First NL Kroasia 75.7% 136
10. Liga Super Yunani Yunani 75.6% 217
11. Football League Yunani 75.1% 205
12. Liga Utama Inggris Inggris 74.9% 358
13. TFF 1. Lig Turki 74.8% 282
14. Liga 2 Ceko Ceko 74.3% 218
15. Bundesliga Jerman 74.2% 128
16. Ykkönen Finlandia 74.2% 124
17. Liga Utama Armenia Armenia 74.2% 120
18. Liga Utama Inggris Skotlandia 74.1% 212
19. Liga Umaglesi Georgia 73.8% 160
20. Liga Utama Malta Malta 73.5% 170
21. Esiliiga Estonia 73.2% 168
22. Superliga Albania 73.2% 153
23. Liga Utama Inggris Wales 73.1% 186
24. Ligue 2 Prancis 73.1% 327
25. Liga Dua Inggris Skotlandia 72.8% 173
26. Liga Pro Ekuador 72.8% 125
27. Meistriliiga Estonia 72.7% 176
28. 1. Division Siprus 72.7% 161
29. Liga Super Uzbekistan Uzbekistan 72.6% 117
30. Categoría Primera A Kolombia 72.5% 363
31. Liga Super Malaysia Malaysia 72.4% 127
32. Primera División Bolivia 72.4% 286
33. Liga Nacional Guatemala 72.4% 257
34. Liga Utama Kazakhstan Kazakhstan 72.3% 166
35. Ligue 1 Aljazair 72.3% 191
36. Challenger Pro League Belgia 72% 118
37. Primeira Liga Portugal 72% 286
38. Second League Bulgaria 71.9% 146
39. Primera B Metropolitana Argentina 71.9% 320
40. Liga Profesional Saudi Arab Saudi 71.7% 223

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

The first goal event of each finished match, by minute and order. Own goals count for the side they were credited to.

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