Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Portekiz Süper Ligi (Portekiz) finishes best: 1,11 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Portekiz Süper Ligi Portekiz | 1.11 | 78.729 |
| 2. Süper Lig Türkiye | 1.09 | 97.355 |
| 3. Championship İngiltere | 1.09 | 135.245 |
| 4. First League Bulgaristan | 1.08 | 26.592 |
| 5. Eredivisie Hollanda | 1.07 | 92.563 |
| 6. Bundesliga Almanya | 1.05 | 93.869 |
| 7. Major League Soccer Amerika Birleşik Devletleri | 1.05 | 137.192 |
| 8. Premier Lig İngiltere | 1.04 | 119.635 |
| 9. Serie A İtalya | 1.03 | 95.948 |
| 10. Super League Çin | 1.01 | 33.970 |
| 11. La Liga İspanya | 1.01 | 99.785 |
| 12. Serie A Brezilya | 1.01 | 93.954 |
| 13. Belçika Birinci Ligi Belçika | 0.995 | 87.051 |
| 14. Liga I Romanya | 0.984 | 63.201 |
| 15. Ekstraklasa Polonya | 0.983 | 65.888 |
| 16. Eliteserien Norveç | 0.976 | 47.011 |
| 17. Allsvenskan İsveç | 0.976 | 36.083 |
| 18. Fransa Ligue 1 Fransa | 0.972 | 84.938 |
| 19. Danimarka Süper Ligi Danimarka | 0.964 | 31.236 |
| 20. Czech Liga Çekya | 0.961 | 48.492 |
| 21. 3. Liga Almanya | 0.958 | 27.037 |
| 22. HNL Hırvatistan | 0.957 | 28.855 |
| 23. İsviçre Süper Ligi İsviçre | 0.944 | 54.669 |
| 24. J. Ligi Japonya | 0.88 | 34.314 |
Showing every competition. Major competitions only
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.