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Which leagues finish above their chances?

Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.

Major League Soccer (Amerika Birleşik Devletleri) finishes best: 1,08 goals for every one its chances were worth.

Which leagues finish above their chances?
LeagueGoals per expected goalExpected goals
1. Major League Soccer Amerika Birleşik Devletleri 1.08 150.586
2. Primera División Peru 1.08 21.275
3. Bundesliga Almanya 1.07 89.525
4. Eredivisie Hollanda 1.07 87.156
5. Portekiz Süper Ligi Portekiz 1.06 74.119
6. Serie A İtalya 1.05 92.815
7. Süper Lig Türkiye 1.04 96.333
8. Danimarka Süper Ligi Danimarka 1.04 42.449
9. Allsvenskan İsveç 1.03 45.834
10. 3. Liga Almanya 1.02 65.981
11. Premier Lig İngiltere 1.02 109.519
12. Serie A Brezilya 1.02 91.017
13. La Liga İspanya 1.02 98.005
14. Super League Çin 1.01 62.475
15. Championship İngiltere 1.01 135.853
16. Liga Profesional Argentina Arjantin 0.987 77.701
17. HNL Hırvatistan 0.985 21.417
18. Fransa Ligue 1 Fransa 0.985 92.500
19. J. Ligi Japonya 0.979 91.400
20. Damallsvenskan İsveç 0.975 32.705
21. First League Bulgaristan 0.958 30.366
22. Eliteserien Norveç 0.952 59.579
23. Ekstraklasa Polonya 0.938 69.624
24. Czech Liga Çekya 0.93 39.874
25. Liga I Romanya 0.928 53.537
26. İsviçre Süper Ligi İsviçre 0.925 53.706
27. Belçika Birinci Ligi Belçika 0.923 93.346
28. Serie B Brezilya 0.92 29.232
29. Superettan İsveç 0.872 33.030
30. Ukrayna Premier Ligi Ukrayna 0.858 28.307
31. Primera División (Şili) Şili 0.822 21.161

Showing every competition. Major competitions only

Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.

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