Where do favourites fall most often?

Share of matches with a clear favourite that the favourite lost. A draw is not a fall here — only a defeat.

Nothing on record here yet. The archive is still filling in.

Showing the major competitions. Include every competition

The favourite comes from the pre-match forecast recorded before kick-off, and a match counts only when one side was at least 20 points ahead on its chances, so evenly matched games are left out. The score after 90 minutes decides, only matches played since we began storing forecasts can be measured, and a league needs 20 such matches to be ranked. No probabilities appear on this page.