Which leagues finish above their chances?
Goals scored against goals expected. Above one means a league puts away more than the quality of its chances suggests; below one, less.
Primeira Liga (Portugal) finishes best: 1,07 goals for every one its chances were worth.
| League | Goals per expected goal | Expected goals |
|---|---|---|
| 1. Primeira Liga Portugal | 1.07 | 242.440 |
| 2. Eredivisie Belanda | 1.06 | 286.774 |
| 3. Liga Super Turki Turki | 1.05 | 282.384 |
| 4. Fußball-Bundesliga Jerman | 1.05 | 336.770 |
| 5. Liga Utama Sepak Bola Amerika Serikat Amerika Serikat | 1.04 | 483.093 |
| 6. Championship Inggris | 1.03 | 431.635 |
| 7. Serie A Brasil | 1.02 | 295.211 |
| 8. Super League Tiongkok | 1.01 | 176.529 |
| 9. Serie A Italia | 1.01 | 343.413 |
| 10. Liga Super Denmark Denmark | 1 | 143.408 |
| 11. Liga Utama Inggris Inggris | 1 | 403.875 |
| 12. LaLiga Spanyol | 0.998 | 368.619 |
| 13. Liga Utama Norwegia Norwegia | 0.991 | 198.974 |
| 14. 3. Fußball-Liga Jerman | 0.989 | 173.430 |
| 15. Liga Satu Inggris Inggris | 0.977 | 106.871 |
| 16. Czech Liga Ceko | 0.975 | 162.606 |
| 17. Liga Super Swiss Swiss | 0.974 | 186.288 |
| 18. Ligue 1 Prancis | 0.97 | 328.261 |
| 19. First League Bulgaria | 0.969 | 103.815 |
| 20. Allsvenskan Swedia | 0.963 | 160.473 |
| 21. Liga Profesional Argentina Argentina | 0.957 | 161.410 |
| 22. Ekstraklasa Polandia | 0.957 | 221.076 |
| 23. Liga Profesional Belgia Belgia | 0.955 | 283.258 |
| 24. Liga I Rumania | 0.951 | 207.355 |
| 25. Divisi Satu J. League Jepang | 0.947 | 271.971 |
| 26. Liga Dua Inggris Inggris | 0.936 | 108.641 |
| 27. Serie B Brasil | 0.907 | 102.414 |
Showing every competition. Major competitions only
Expected goals are recorded for far fewer matches than anything else here — recent seasons in the larger leagues — so this list is shorter and younger than the rest.